Minnesota Wild
MIN · 14-13-4
4–3
Final / OTW
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 14-13-5
1ST2ND3RDOTT
MIN
213041512424
MTL
031122802325
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Wild lead the season series 2–0
MIN 14-13-4 · MTL 14-13-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the Wild lead the season series 2–0
Wild beat the Canadiens
The Wild earned it: 3.2 expected goals to 1.8, and they won it in overtime on Kaprizov's goal. Filip Gustavsson allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 1.8, on 24 and 25 shots on goal.
MIN 3.2 xG · 24 shots
MTL 1.8 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.1 · 0.1
2nd
1.0 · 0.9
3rd
0.8 · 0.6
OT
0.3 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matt Boldy · 1st 13:19 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Marco Rossi · 1st 14:54 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
David Savard · 2nd 08:17 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Nick Suzuki · 3rd 01:09 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a great chance (29%)
5
Brock Faber · 3rd 08:57 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Juraj Slafkovský · 3rd 16:57 · 3–3 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Kirill Kaprizov · OT 04:55 · 4–3 · snap shot, a great chance (29%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 73.
MIN 73%MTL 27%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matt Boldy · 1st 13:19 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Marco Rossi · 1st 14:54 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
David Savard · 2nd 08:17 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Nick Suzuki · 3rd 01:09 · PP · 2–2
Backhand shot, a great chance (29%)
5
Brock Faber · 3rd 08:57 · PP · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Juraj Slafkovský · 3rd 16:57 · 3–3
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Kirill Kaprizov · OT 04:55 · GWG · 4–3
Snap shot, a great chance (29%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
20/24 saves · 4 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.