Minnesota Wild
MIN · 16-16-4
1–3
FinalL
Calgary Flames
CGY · 16-16-5
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
0715017129
CGY
213010110333
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Wild lead the season series 2–1
MIN 16-16-4 · CGY 16-16-5 · Meeting 3 this season — the Wild lead the season series 2–1
Wild fell to the Flames
The Wild created the better chances (3.5 to 2.1 expected goals) — and lost 1–3. Jacob Markstrom stopped 2.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.1, on 29 and 33 shots on goal.
MIN 3.5 xG · 29 shots
CGY 2.1 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 1.0
2nd
0.8 · 0.7
3rd · the swing
1.5 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Andrew Mangiapane · 1st 11:40 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Jonathan Huberdeau · 1st 19:36 · 0–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Patrick Maroon · 2nd 09:28 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
4
Blake Coleman · 3rd 19:03 · 1–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 71.
MIN 71%CGY 29%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Andrew Mangiapane · 1st 11:40 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Jonathan Huberdeau · 1st 19:36 · GWG · 0–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Patrick Maroon · 2nd 09:28 · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
4
Blake Coleman · 3rd 19:03 · EN · 1–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
1
Rasmus Andersson, MacKenzie Weegar · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
0–1
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
28/29 saves · 1 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 2.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.