Minnesota Wild
MIN · 16-17-4
1–4
FinalL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 19-16-5
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
060918123
TBL
07213210430
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Wild trail the season series 0–1
MIN 16-17-4 · TBL 19-16-5 · First meeting this season — the Wild trail the season series 0–1
Wild fell to the Lightning
The Wild were outchanced (2.9 to 1.3 expected goals) and lost 1–4.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 2.9 expected goals to 1.3, on 30 and 23 shots on goal.
MIN 1.3 xG · 23 shots
TBL 2.9 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.4 · 1.1
2nd
0.5 · 0.8
3rd
0.5 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Darren Raddysh · 2nd 04:31 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Darren Raddysh · 2nd 07:00 · 0–2 · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Victor Hedman · 3rd 02:00 · 0–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Zach Bogosian · 3rd 15:35 · 1–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 19:19 · 1–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 23.
MIN 23%TBL 77%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Darren Raddysh · 2nd 04:31 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Darren Raddysh · 2nd 07:00 · GWG · 0–2
Wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Victor Hedman · 3rd 02:00 · PP · 0–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Zach Bogosian · 3rd 15:35 · 1–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 19:19 · EN · 1–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
22/23 saves · 1 GA · 1.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.