MIN
5–3
WSH
Final · W
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 21-21-5
5–3
FinalW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 22-17-6
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
2811428530
WSH
09112212333
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
MIN 21-21-5 · WSH 22-17-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Wild beat the Capitals
The Wild earned it: 3.1 expected goals to 2.6, and a 5–3 win to show for it. Darcy Kuemper allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 2.6, on 30 and 33 shots on goal.
MIN 3.1 xG · 30 shots
WSH 2.6 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.3 · 0.4
2nd
1.2 · 0.6
3rd · the swing
0.5 · 1.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brock Faber · 1st 01:37 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
2
Marcus Foligno · 1st 04:42 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (53%)
3
Marcus Johansson · 2nd 06:28 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Anthony Mantha · 2nd 10:00 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Joel Eriksson Ek · 3rd 01:37 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Marcus Johansson · 3rd 13:39 · 5–1 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
7
T.J. Oshie · 3rd 17:03 · 5–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Anthony Mantha · 3rd 18:24 · 5–3 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 58.
MIN 58%WSH 42%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Wild shoot this way
Capitals shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brock Faber · 1st 01:37 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
2
Marcus Foligno · 1st 04:42 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (53%)
3
Marcus Johansson · 2nd 06:28 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Anthony Mantha · 2nd 10:00 · 3–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Joel Eriksson Ek · 3rd 01:37 · GWG · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Marcus Johansson · 3rd 13:39 · 5–1
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
7
T.J. Oshie · 3rd 17:03 · PP · 5–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Anthony Mantha · 3rd 18:24 · 5–3
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
1st period
2nd period
4
Evgeny Kuznetsov, Martin Fehérváry · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3–1
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
25/30 saves · 5 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
