Minnesota Wild
MIN · 21-22-5
2–3
FinalL
Nashville Predators
NSH · 26-21-1
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
0611117224
NSH
01104314329
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
MIN 21-22-5 · NSH 26-21-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Wild fell to the Predators
Chances were even (1.9 to 2.2 expected goals); the Wild lost 2–3. The Wild scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 1.9 expected goals to 2.2, on 24 and 29 shots on goal.
MIN 1.9 xG · 24 shots
NSH 2.2 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.3 · 0.7
2nd
1.1 · 0.4
3rd
0.6 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Joel Eriksson Ek · 2nd 12:44 · 1–0 · deflected shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Alexandre Carrier · 3rd 01:44 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 02:19 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Roman Josi · 3rd 11:34 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Matt Boldy · 3rd 16:09 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 45.
MIN 45%NSH 55%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Joel Eriksson Ek · 2nd 12:44 · PP · 1–0
Deflected shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Alexandre Carrier · 3rd 01:44 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 02:19 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Roman Josi · 3rd 11:34 · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Matt Boldy · 3rd 16:09 · PP · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
22/24 saves · 2 GA · 1.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.