Minnesota Wild
MIN · 23-23-5
3–2
FinalW
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 23-18-7
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
1811517330
PIT
08113115236
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
MIN 23-23-5 · PIT 23-18-7 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Wild beat the Penguins
Chances were even (3.1 to 3.4 expected goals); the Wild won 3–2. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.1 expected goals to 3.4, on 30 and 36 shots on goal.
MIN 3.1 xG · 30 shots
PIT 3.4 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
1.5 · 0.8
3rd
1.0 · 1.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matt Boldy · 1st 12:57 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Reilly Smith · 2nd 02:54 · 1–1 · slap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Jonas Brodin · 2nd 06:12 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Sidney Crosby · 3rd 01:01 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Kirill Kaprizov · 3rd 09:34 · 3–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 46.
MIN 46%PIT 54%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matt Boldy · 1st 12:57 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Reilly Smith · 2nd 02:54 · 1–1
Slap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Jonas Brodin · 2nd 06:12 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Sidney Crosby · 3rd 01:01 · PP · 2–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Kirill Kaprizov · 3rd 09:34 · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
34/36 saves · 2 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.