MIN
2–3
BUF
Final / OT · L
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 25-23-6
2–3
Final / OTL
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 24-26-4
1ST2ND3RDOTT
MIN
01201021000232
BUF
0120321211328
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Wild trail the season series 0–2
MIN 25-23-6 · BUF 24-26-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Wild trail the season series 0–2
Wild fell to the Sabres
Chances were even (3.0 to 2.8 expected goals); the Wild lost it in overtime on Jokiharju's goal. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 2.8, on 32 and 28 shots on goal.
MIN 3.0 xG · 32 shots
BUF 2.8 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 1.3
2nd
0.9 · 0.4
3rd
0.8 · 1.0
OT
0.1 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Casey Mittelstadt · 3rd 00:39 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Joel Eriksson Ek · 3rd 04:02 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Declan Chisholm · 3rd 11:21 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 19:23 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (65%)
5
Henri Jokiharju · OT 01:29 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 53.
MIN 53%BUF 47%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Wild shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Casey Mittelstadt · 3rd 00:39 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Joel Eriksson Ek · 3rd 04:02 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Declan Chisholm · 3rd 11:21 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 19:23 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (65%)
5
Henri Jokiharju · OT 01:29 · GWG · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
