Minnesota Wild
MIN · 28-25-6
2–3
FinalL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 35-18-6
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
27012011230
CAR
1131619328
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
MIN 28-25-6 · CAR 35-18-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Wild fell to the Hurricanes
The Wild were outchanced (3.3 to 2.6 expected goals) and lost 2–3.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.6, on 28 and 30 shots on goal.
MIN 2.6 xG · 30 shots
CAR 3.3 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 0.8
2nd
0.5 · 0.9
3rd
0.9 · 1.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Connor Dewar · 1st 10:10 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Jordan Staal · 1st 15:26 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Jonas Brodin · 1st 19:39 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Andrei Svechnikov · 2nd 19:35 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Stefan Noesen · 3rd 11:02 · 2–3 · deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (75%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 38.
MIN 38%CAR 62%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Connor Dewar · 1st 10:10 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Jordan Staal · 1st 15:26 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Jonas Brodin · 1st 19:39 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Andrei Svechnikov · 2nd 19:35 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Stefan Noesen · 3rd 11:02 · GWG · 2–3
Deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (75%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 3.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.