MIN
4–3
NSH
Final / OT · W
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 31-27-7
4–3
Final / OTW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 37-25-4
1ST2ND3RDOTT
MIN
1111711411433
NSH
1111101801330
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
MIN 31-27-7 · NSH 37-25-4 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Wild beat the Predators
Chances were even (2.7 to 2.7 expected goals); the Wild won it in overtime on Boldy's goal. Juuse Saros allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 2.7, on 33 and 30 shots on goal.
MIN 2.7 xG · 33 shots
NSH 2.7 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 1.1
2nd
1.1 · 1.0
3rd
0.5 · 0.3
OT
0.2 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jonas Brodin · 1st 03:16 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Mark Jankowski · 1st 09:00 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Luke Evangelista · 2nd 03:36 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
4
Kirill Kaprizov · 2nd 18:42 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a great chance (27%)
5
Ryan Hartman · 3rd 12:28 · 3–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 17:58 · 3–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Matt Boldy · OT 03:50 · 4–3 · slap shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 50.
MIN 50%NSH 50%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Wild shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jonas Brodin · 1st 03:16 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Mark Jankowski · 1st 09:00 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Luke Evangelista · 2nd 03:36 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
4
Kirill Kaprizov · 2nd 18:42 · PP · 2–2
Backhand shot, a great chance (27%)
5
Ryan Hartman · 3rd 12:28 · 3–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 17:58 · PP · 3–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Matt Boldy · OT 03:50 · EXTRA ATTACKER · GWG · 4–3
Slap shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
29/33 saves · 4 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
