MIN
4–5
STL
Final / OT · L
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 34-28-9
4–5
Final / OTL
St. Louis Blues
STL · 38-30-3
1ST2ND3RDOTT
MIN
0531211601434
STL
111182711527
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Wild trail the season series 1–3
MIN 34-28-9 · STL 38-30-3 · Meeting 4 this season — the Wild trail the season series 1–3
Wild fell to the Blues
The Wild created the better chances (3.5 to 2.6 expected goals) — and lost it in overtime on Saad's goal. Marc-Andre Fleury allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.6, on 34 and 27 shots on goal.
MIN 3.5 xG · 34 shots
STL 2.6 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.3 · 1.2
2nd
1.3 · 0.7
3rd · the swing
1.7 · 0.5
OT
0.2 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jake Neighbours · 1st 10:07 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (52%)
2
Marcus Johansson · 2nd 04:45 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Marco Rossi · 2nd 11:44 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
4
Jordan Kyrou · 2nd 12:49 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Marco Rossi · 2nd 15:11 · 3–2 · deflected shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Jordan Kyrou · 3rd 03:50 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Jordan Kyrou · 3rd 10:01 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Brock Faber · 3rd 14:51 · 4–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (46%)
9
Brandon Saad · OT 02:05 · 4–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 64.
MIN 64%STL 36%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Wild shoot this way
Blues shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jake Neighbours · 1st 10:07 · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (52%)
2
Marcus Johansson · 2nd 04:45 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Marco Rossi · 2nd 11:44 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
4
Jordan Kyrou · 2nd 12:49 · 2–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Marco Rossi · 2nd 15:11 · 3–2
Deflected shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Jordan Kyrou · 3rd 03:50 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Jordan Kyrou · 3rd 10:01 · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Brock Faber · 3rd 14:51 · 4–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (46%)
9
Brandon Saad · OT 02:05 · GWG · 4–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
22/27 saves · 5 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
30/34 saves · 4 GA · 3.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
