MIN
3–2
OTT
Final · W
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 36-28-10
3–2
FinalW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 33-37-4
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
151717319
OTT
011111110232
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
MIN 36-28-10 · OTT 33-37-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Wild beat the Senators
Chances were even (1.7 to 2.2 expected goals); the Wild won 3–2. Joonas Korpisalo allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 1.7 expected goals to 2.2, on 19 and 32 shots on goal.
MIN 1.7 xG · 19 shots
OTT 2.2 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.5 · 0.6
2nd
0.5 · 0.8
3rd
0.7 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mason Shaw · 1st 12:32 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Matt Boldy · 2nd 00:49 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Drake Batherson · 2nd 07:43 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Jakob Chychrun · 3rd 02:42 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Vinni Lettieri · 3rd 13:04 · 3–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 40.
MIN 40%OTT 60%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Wild shoot this way
Senators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mason Shaw · 1st 12:32 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Matt Boldy · 2nd 00:49 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Drake Batherson · 2nd 07:43 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Jakob Chychrun · 3rd 02:42 · PP · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Vinni Lettieri · 3rd 13:04 · GWG · 3–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
16/19 saves · 3 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
