Minnesota Wild
MIN · 36-30-10
2–4
FinalL
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 47-24-6
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
21106010227
WPG
2101916425
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Wild trail the season series 0–4
MIN 36-30-10 · WPG 47-24-6 · Meeting 4 this season — the Wild trail the season series 0–4
Wild fell to the Jets
Chances were even (2.3 to 2.5 expected goals); the Wild lost 2–4. Marc-Andre Fleury allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.3 expected goals to 2.5, on 27 and 25 shots on goal.
MIN 2.3 xG · 27 shots
WPG 2.5 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.9 · 0.8
2nd
0.7 · 0.8
3rd
0.7 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Vladislav Namestnikov · 1st 02:33 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (25%)
2
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 08:46 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Kyle Connor · 1st 11:44 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 15:42 · 2–2 · slap shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Alex Iafallo · 2nd 13:39 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Morgan Barron · 3rd 09:46 · 2–4 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 47.
MIN 47%WPG 53%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Vladislav Namestnikov · 1st 02:33 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (25%)
2
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 08:46 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Kyle Connor · 1st 11:44 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 15:42 · PP · 2–2
Slap shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Alex Iafallo · 2nd 13:39 · GWG · 2–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Morgan Barron · 3rd 09:46 · 2–4
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
5
Brenden Dillon, Vladislav Namestnikov · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2–3
3rd period
6
Dylan Samberg, Vladislav Namestnikov · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2–4
No penalties
Goaltending
21/25 saves · 4 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.