Minnesota Wild
MIN · 39-33-10
3–4
FinalL
Seattle Kraken
SEA · 34-35-13
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
1705212324
SEA
0711139427
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Wild lead the season series 2–1
MIN 39-33-10 · SEA 34-35-13 · Meeting 3 this season — the Wild lead the season series 2–1
Wild fell to the Kraken
The Wild were outchanced (2.5 to 2.0 expected goals) and lost 3–4. Kartye's winner came with 2:40 left. Joey Daccord allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Kraken created the better chances: 2.5 expected goals to 2.0, on 27 and 24 shots on goal.
MIN 2.0 xG · 24 shots
SEA 2.5 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.6 · 0.6
2nd · the swing
0.2 · 1.2
3rd
1.1 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 04:04 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Matty Beniers · 2nd 11:00 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Yanni Gourde · 3rd 06:38 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Mats Zuccarello · 3rd 11:13 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Tye Kartye · 3rd 17:20 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Yanni Gourde · 3rd 18:14 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Brock Faber · 3rd 18:55 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 40.
MIN 40%SEA 60%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 04:04 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Matty Beniers · 2nd 11:00 · PP · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Yanni Gourde · 3rd 06:38 · SH · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Mats Zuccarello · 3rd 11:13 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Tye Kartye · 3rd 17:20 · 2–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Yanni Gourde · 3rd 18:14 · EN · GWG · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Brock Faber · 3rd 18:55 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
2
Justin Schultz, Oliver Bjorkstrand · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1–1
3rd period
5
Oliver Bjorkstrand, Jared McCann · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2–3
No penalties
Goaltending
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.