MIN
5–3
TBL
Final · W
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 7-1-2
5–3
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 7-4-0
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
061749522
TBL
1150728330
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Wild lead the season series 2–0
MIN 7-1-2 · TBL 7-4-0 · Meeting 2 this season — the Wild lead the season series 2–0
Wild beat the Lightning
The Wild earned it: 2.8 expected goals to 2.1, and a 5–3 win to show for it. The Wild owned the 2nd period, 2.0 to 0.4 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 2.1, on 22 and 30 shots on goal.
MIN 2.8 xG · 22 shots
TBL 2.1 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.2 · 1.1
2nd · the swing
2.0 · 0.4
3rd
0.6 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brayden Point · 1st 19:15 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
2
Joel Eriksson Ek · 2nd 00:47 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Brock Faber · 3rd 02:41 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 06:23 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Kirill Kaprizov · 3rd 14:37 · 3–2 · deflected shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Matt Boldy · 3rd 16:57 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Nick Paul · 3rd 17:34 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
8
Kirill Kaprizov · 3rd 19:31 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 63.
MIN 63%TBL 37%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Wild shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brayden Point · 1st 19:15 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
2
Joel Eriksson Ek · 2nd 00:47 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Brock Faber · 3rd 02:41 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 06:23 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Kirill Kaprizov · 3rd 14:37 · 3–2
Deflected shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Matt Boldy · 3rd 16:57 · EN · GWG · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Nick Paul · 3rd 17:34 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
8
Kirill Kaprizov · 3rd 19:31 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
17/20 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
