Minnesota Wild
MIN · 11-3-3
1–2
FinalL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 11-5-0
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
0704112123
DAL
115011114240
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Wild trail the season series 0–1
MIN 11-3-3 · DAL 11-5-0 · First meeting this season — the Wild trail the season series 0–1
Wild fell to the Stars
The Wild were outchanced (2.6 to 2.0 expected goals) and lost 1–2. Jake Oettinger stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 2.6 expected goals to 2.0, on 40 and 23 shots on goal.
MIN 2.0 xG · 23 shots
DAL 2.6 xG · 40 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.4 · 0.9
2nd
0.7 · 0.8
3rd
0.9 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mason Marchment · 1st 18:43 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Mason Marchment · 3rd 11:24 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (30%)
3
Kirill Kaprizov · 3rd 14:10 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 40.
MIN 40%DAL 60%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mason Marchment · 1st 18:43 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Mason Marchment · 3rd 11:24 · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (30%)
3
Kirill Kaprizov · 3rd 14:10 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
38/40 saves · 2 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
22/23 saves · 1 GA · 2.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.