Minnesota Wild
MIN · 15-4-4
3–2
FinalW
Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 8-13-2
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
0836015329
CHI
1511008223
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
MIN 15-4-4 · CHI 8-13-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Wild beat the Blackhawks
Down 0–2 in the 2nd period, the Wild erased the deficit with three unanswered goals — Spurgeon's equalizer — and won 3–2.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.1 expected goals to 2.0, on 29 and 23 shots on goal.
MIN 2.1 xG · 29 shots
CHI 2.0 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.8 · 0.7
2nd
0.6 · 1.0
3rd
0.8 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ryan Donato · 1st 02:23 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Ryan Donato · 2nd 05:43 · 0–2 · slap shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Marco Rossi · 2nd 10:22 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Jared Spurgeon · 2nd 10:39 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Jared Spurgeon · 2nd 17:33 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 52.
MIN 52%CHI 48%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ryan Donato · 1st 02:23 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Ryan Donato · 2nd 05:43 · PP · 0–2
Slap shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Marco Rossi · 2nd 10:22 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Jared Spurgeon · 2nd 10:39 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Jared Spurgeon · 2nd 17:33 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3
Marcus Johansson, Kirill Kaprizov · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1–2
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
21/23 saves · 2 GA · 2.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.