MIN
4–1
PHI
Final · W
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 20-6-4
4–1
FinalW
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 14-13-4
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
181727422
PHI
090419122
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
MIN 20-6-4 · PHI 14-13-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Wild beat the Flyers
Chances were even (1.4 to 1.9 expected goals); the Wild won 4–1. Samuel Ersson allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 1.4 expected goals to 1.9, on 22 and 22 shots on goal.
MIN 1.4 xG · 22 shots
PHI 1.9 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.4 · 0.9
2nd
0.8 · 0.6
3rd
0.1 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 14:18 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Matt Boldy · 2nd 15:21 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
3
Marco Rossi · 3rd 09:34 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Travis Sanheim · 3rd 14:18 · 3–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Kirill Kaprizov · 3rd 17:50 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 40.
MIN 40%PHI 60%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Wild shoot this way
Flyers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 14:18 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Matt Boldy · 2nd 15:21 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
3
Marco Rossi · 3rd 09:34 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Travis Sanheim · 3rd 14:18 · 3–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Kirill Kaprizov · 3rd 17:50 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/22 saves · 1 GA · 1.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 1.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
