MIN
2–3
VGK
Final · L
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 20-7-4
2–3
FinalL
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 20-8-3
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
1101705222
VGK
1121619327
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Wild trail the season series 0–1
MIN 20-7-4 · VGK 20-8-3 · First meeting this season — the Wild trail the season series 0–1
Wild fell to the Golden Knights
Chances were even (2.0 to 1.6 expected goals); the Wild lost 2–3. Jesper Wallstedt allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.0 expected goals to 1.6, on 22 and 27 shots on goal.
MIN 2.0 xG · 22 shots
VGK 1.6 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.8 · 0.8
2nd
0.7 · 0.4
3rd
0.4 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 01:30 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Victor Olofsson · 1st 09:31 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Shea Theodore · 2nd 06:04 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Kirill Kaprizov · 2nd 16:56 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Victor Olofsson · 3rd 03:49 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 58.
MIN 58%VGK 42%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Wild shoot this way
Golden Knights shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 01:30 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Victor Olofsson · 1st 09:31 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Shea Theodore · 2nd 06:04 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Kirill Kaprizov · 2nd 16:56 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Victor Olofsson · 3rd 03:49 · GWG · 2–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
5
William Karlsson, Pavel Dorofeyev · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2–3
No penalties
Goaltending
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 1.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
20/22 saves · 2 GA · 2.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
