Minnesota Wild
MIN · 20-8-4
1–6
FinalL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 20-11-2
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
1150705127
FLA
28215210633
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
MIN 20-8-4 · FLA 20-11-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Wild fell to the Panthers
The Wild were outchanced (3.3 to 1.9 expected goals) and lost 1–6. Marc-Andre Fleury allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 1.9, on 33 and 27 shots on goal.
MIN 1.9 xG · 27 shots
FLA 3.3 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.3 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
0.4 · 1.5
3rd
0.3 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Aaron Ekblad · 1st 03:48 · 0–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Marco Rossi · 1st 16:11 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Mackie Samoskevich · 1st 18:14 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 15:28 · 1–3 · poke shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 18:54 · 1–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Niko Mikkola · 3rd 11:10 · 1–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Eetu Luostarinen · 3rd 19:30 · 1–6 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 28.
MIN 28%FLA 72%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Aaron Ekblad · 1st 03:48 · 0–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Marco Rossi · 1st 16:11 · PP · 1–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Mackie Samoskevich · 1st 18:14 · GWG · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 15:28 · 1–3
Poke shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 18:54 · PP · 1–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Niko Mikkola · 3rd 11:10 · 1–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Eetu Luostarinen · 3rd 19:30 · 1–6
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
1
Jesper Boqvist, Mackie Samoskevich · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
0–1
2nd period
5
Carter Verhaeghe, Aaron Ekblad · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1–4
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/33 saves · 6 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
26/27 saves · 1 GA · 1.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.