Minnesota Wild
MIN · 21-10-4
4–3
FinalW
Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 12-21-2
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
1121827427
CHI
111110110331
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Wild lead the season series 2–1
MIN 21-10-4 · CHI 12-21-2 · Meeting 3 this season — the Wild lead the season series 2–1
Wild beat the Blackhawks
Chances were even (2.6 to 2.5 expected goals); the Wild won 4–3.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 2.5, on 27 and 31 shots on goal.
MIN 2.6 xG · 27 shots
CHI 2.5 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
1st
1.4 · 0.7
2nd
0.8 · 0.9
3rd
0.4 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Connor Bedard · 1st 06:47 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 11:11 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (35%)
3
Nick Foligno · 2nd 06:16 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
4
Jared Spurgeon · 2nd 07:05 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Brock Faber · 3rd 02:43 · 3–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Marcus Foligno · 3rd 18:36 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Jason Dickinson · 3rd 19:27 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 51.
MIN 51%CHI 49%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Connor Bedard · 1st 06:47 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 11:11 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (35%)
3
Nick Foligno · 2nd 06:16 · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (28%)
4
Jared Spurgeon · 2nd 07:05 · 2–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Brock Faber · 3rd 02:43 · 3–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Marcus Foligno · 3rd 18:36 · EN · GWG · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Jason Dickinson · 3rd 19:27 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.