MIN
5–3
NSH
Final · W
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 23-11-4
5–3
FinalW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 11-20-7
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
11631616538
NSH
215112019346
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Wild lead the season series 2–0
MIN 23-11-4 · NSH 11-20-7 · Meeting 2 this season — the Wild lead the season series 2–0
Wild beat the Predators
The Wild were outchanced (4.4 to 3.2 expected goals) but won 5–3 anyway. Justus Annunen allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 4.4 expected goals to 3.2, on 46 and 38 shots on goal.
MIN 3.2 xG · 38 shots
NSH 4.4 xG · 46 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.1 · 1.7
2nd
1.6 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
0.4 · 1.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Marco Rossi · 1st 07:54 · 1–0 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Colton Sissons · 1st 11:00 · 1–1 · deflected shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Jonathan Marchessault · 1st 15:14 · 1–2 · slap shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Mats Zuccarello · 2nd 06:19 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Jonas Brodin · 2nd 08:57 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
6
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 12:01 · 3–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (25%)
7
Declan Chisholm · 2nd 17:08 · 4–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Marco Rossi · 3rd 07:07 · 5–3 · poke shot, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 33.
MIN 33%NSH 67%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Wild shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Marco Rossi · 1st 07:54 · 1–0
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Colton Sissons · 1st 11:00 · 1–1
Deflected shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Jonathan Marchessault · 1st 15:14 · 1–2
Slap shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Mats Zuccarello · 2nd 06:19 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Jonas Brodin · 2nd 08:57 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
6
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 12:01 · 3–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (25%)
7
Declan Chisholm · 2nd 17:08 · PP · GWG · 4–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Marco Rossi · 3rd 07:07 · PP · 5–3
Poke shot, a good chance (17%)
1st period
1
Mats Zuccarello, Jonas Brodin · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
43/46 saves · 3 GA · 4.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
33/38 saves · 5 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
