MIN
1–6
COL
Final · L
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 26-12-4
1–6
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 26-16-1
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
1408013125
COL
2811138627
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Wild trail the season series 0–1
MIN 26-12-4 · COL 26-16-1 · First meeting this season — the Wild trail the season series 0–1
Wild fell to the Avalanche
Chances were even (2.6 to 2.9 expected goals); the Wild lost 1–6. Filip Gustavsson allowed 3.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 2.9, on 25 and 27 shots on goal.
MIN 2.6 xG · 25 shots
COL 2.9 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.8
2nd
0.8 · 1.3
3rd
1.1 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Logan O'Connor · 1st 03:46 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Ross Colton · 1st 16:52 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Zach Bogosian · 1st 18:27 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 13:00 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Parker Kelly · 3rd 04:23 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 07:42 · 1–5 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
7
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 08:48 · 1–6 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 45.
MIN 45%COL 55%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Wild shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Logan O'Connor · 1st 03:46 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Ross Colton · 1st 16:52 · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Zach Bogosian · 1st 18:27 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 13:00 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Parker Kelly · 3rd 04:23 · 1–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 07:42 · SH · 1–5
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
7
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 08:48 · 1–6
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/27 saves · 6 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 3.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
24/25 saves · 1 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
