MIN
3–5
EDM
Final · L
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 27-14-4
3–5
FinalL
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 28-13-3
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
212110012334
EDM
214111211536
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Wild trail the season series 1–2
MIN 27-14-4 · EDM 28-13-3 · Meeting 3 this season — the Wild trail the season series 1–2
Wild fell to the Oilers
The Wild let a 2–0 lead get away: the Oilers came back with five unanswered goals — Nugent-Hopkins's equalizer — and won 3–5. Filip Gustavsson allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 2.9, on 34 and 36 shots on goal.
MIN 2.6 xG · 34 shots
EDM 2.9 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 1.5
2nd
0.7 · 0.7
3rd
1.1 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matt Boldy · 1st 03:02 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Marco Rossi · 1st 16:11 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Zach Hyman · 1st 16:32 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (43%)
4
Connor McDavid · 1st 18:28 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Ryan Hartman · 2nd 04:09 · 3–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 2nd 14:15 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Vasily Podkolzin · 3rd 01:28 · 3–4 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
8
Connor McDavid · 3rd 12:49 · 3–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 45.
MIN 45%EDM 55%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Wild shoot this way
Oilers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matt Boldy · 1st 03:02 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Marco Rossi · 1st 16:11 · PP · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Zach Hyman · 1st 16:32 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (43%)
4
Connor McDavid · 1st 18:28 · PP · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Ryan Hartman · 2nd 04:09 · 3–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 2nd 14:15 · 3–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Vasily Podkolzin · 3rd 01:28 · GWG · 3–4
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
8
Connor McDavid · 3rd 12:49 · 3–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/36 saves · 5 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
31/34 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
