MIN
4–5
CGY
Final · L
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 28-17-4
4–5
FinalL
Calgary Flames
CGY · 24-16-7
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
1507313425
CGY
15214210529
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Wild trail the season series 0–2
MIN 28-17-4 · CGY 24-16-7 · Meeting 2 this season — the Wild trail the season series 0–2
Wild fell to the Flames
Chances were even (2.1 to 2.1 expected goals); the Wild lost 4–5. Marc-Andre Fleury allowed 2.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.1 expected goals to 2.1, on 25 and 29 shots on goal.
MIN 2.1 xG · 25 shots
CGY 2.1 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.3 · 0.4
2nd
0.5 · 1.1
3rd · the swing
1.3 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Andrei Kuzmenko · 1st 06:58 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Joel Eriksson Ek · 1st 09:34 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Martin Pospisil · 2nd 12:28 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Rasmus Andersson · 2nd 19:52 · 1–3 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
5
· 3rd 11:53 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Frederick Gaudreau · 3rd 14:15 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
7
Andrei Kuzmenko · 3rd 14:29 · 2–5 · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Marcus Foligno · 3rd 18:46 · 3–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
9
Mats Zuccarello · 3rd 19:33 · 4–5 · tip in shot, a great chance (36%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 50.
MIN 50%CGY 50%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Wild shoot this way
Flames shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Andrei Kuzmenko · 1st 06:58 · PP · 0–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Joel Eriksson Ek · 1st 09:34 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Martin Pospisil · 2nd 12:28 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Rasmus Andersson · 2nd 19:52 · PP · 1–3
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
5
· 3rd 11:53 · 1–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Frederick Gaudreau · 3rd 14:15 · PP · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
7
Andrei Kuzmenko · 3rd 14:29 · GWG · 2–5
Wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Marcus Foligno · 3rd 18:46 · 3–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
9
Mats Zuccarello · 3rd 19:33 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–5
Tip in shot, a great chance (36%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
7
Yegor Sharangovich, MacKenzie Weegar · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2–5
No penalties
Goaltending
24/29 saves · 5 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 2.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
21/25 saves · 4 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
