MIN
2–1
CAR
Final · W
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 32-19-4
2–1
FinalW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 32-19-4
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
1701017224
CAR
015010113138
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Wild lead the season series 2–0
MIN 32-19-4 · CAR 32-19-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Wild lead the season series 2–0
Wild beat the Hurricanes
The Wild were outchanced (3.5 to 2.1 expected goals) but won 2–1 anyway. Filip Gustavsson stopped 2.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.1, on 38 and 24 shots on goal.
MIN 2.1 xG · 24 shots
CAR 3.5 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.8
2nd
1.1 · 1.4
3rd · the swing
0.4 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Yakov Trenin · 1st 02:55 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Vinnie Hinostroza · 3rd 00:49 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 17:12 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 29.
MIN 29%CAR 71%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties← Wild shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Yakov Trenin · 1st 02:55 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Vinnie Hinostroza · 3rd 00:49 · GWG · 2–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 17:12 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
37/38 saves · 1 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 2.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
22/24 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
