Minnesota Wild
MIN · 33-19-4
6–3
FinalW
New York Islanders
NYI · 25-23-7
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
11239212633
NYI
19214012335
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Wild lead the season series 1–0
MIN 33-19-4 · NYI 25-23-7 · First meeting this season — the Wild lead the season series 1–0
Wild beat the Islanders
Down 1–3 in the 2nd period, the Wild erased the deficit with five unanswered goals — Boldy's equalizer — and won 6–3. Ilya Sorokin allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 3.5, on 33 and 35 shots on goal.
MIN 3.0 xG · 33 shots
NYI 3.5 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 1.2
2nd
1.3 · 1.1
3rd
0.7 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Marco Rossi · 1st 03:19 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Kyle Palmieri · 1st 03:32 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Brock Nelson · 2nd 00:28 · 1–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Anders Lee · 2nd 07:17 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Frederick Gaudreau · 2nd 13:21 · 2–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Matt Boldy · 2nd 17:59 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Yakov Trenin · 2nd 18:50 · 4–3 · tip in shot, a great chance (38%)
8
Matt Boldy · 3rd 05:53 · 5–3
9
Marcus Foligno · 3rd 15:46 · 6–3 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 43.
MIN 43%NYI 57%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Marco Rossi · 1st 03:19 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Kyle Palmieri · 1st 03:32 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Brock Nelson · 2nd 00:28 · 1–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Anders Lee · 2nd 07:17 · 1–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Frederick Gaudreau · 2nd 13:21 · PP · 2–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Matt Boldy · 2nd 17:59 · 3–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Yakov Trenin · 2nd 18:50 · GWG · 4–3
Tip in shot, a great chance (38%)
8
Matt Boldy · 3rd 05:53 · 5–3
9
Marcus Foligno · 3rd 15:46 · EN · 6–3
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 3.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
28/32 saves · 4 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.