MIN
1–3
PIT
Final · L
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 36-24-4
1–3
FinalL
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 25-31-10
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
010010110130
PIT
071629322
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
MIN 36-24-4 · PIT 25-31-10 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Wild fell to the Penguins
The Wild created the better chances (3.1 to 1.6 expected goals) — and lost 1–3. Tristan Jarry stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 1.6, on 30 and 22 shots on goal.
MIN 3.1 xG · 30 shots
PIT 1.6 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.3
2nd
0.8 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
1.4 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Evgeni Malkin · 2nd 15:22 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (48%)
2
Sidney Crosby · 3rd 09:21 · 0–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
3
Ryan Hartman · 3rd 14:54 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Sidney Crosby · 3rd 18:47 · 1–3 · poke shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 76.
MIN 76%PIT 24%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties← Wild shoot this way
Penguins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Evgeni Malkin · 2nd 15:22 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (48%)
2
Sidney Crosby · 3rd 09:21 · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
3
Ryan Hartman · 3rd 14:54 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Sidney Crosby · 3rd 18:47 · EN · 1–3
Poke shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
3
Jared Spurgeon, Marcus Johansson · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1–2
No penalties
Goaltending
19/21 saves · 2 GA · 1.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
29/30 saves · 1 GA · 3.1 xGA
Stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
