Minnesota Wild
MIN · 37-24-4
2–1
Final / SOW
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 39-24-3
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
MIN
061808011223
COL
0501318020128
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
MIN 37-24-4 · COL 39-24-3 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Wild beat the Avalanche
The Wild were outchanced (2.5 to 1.5 expected goals) but won it in a shootout anyway. Filip Gustavsson stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 2.5 expected goals to 1.5, on 28 and 23 shots on goal.
MIN 1.5 xG · 23 shots
COL 2.5 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.4 · 0.5
2nd
0.4 · 0.9
3rd
0.7 · 0.7
OT
0.0 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mats Zuccarello · 2nd 11:01 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Joel Kiviranta · 3rd 14:20 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 31.
MIN 31%COL 69%
Goals and penalties
2 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mats Zuccarello · 2nd 11:01 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Joel Kiviranta · 3rd 14:20 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Wild
Goaltending
27/28 saves · 1 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
22/23 saves · 1 GA · 1.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.