Minnesota Wild
MIN · 40-25-5
4–1
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 27-35-6
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
0631015421
BUF
080617121
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Wild lead the season series 2–0
MIN 40-25-5 · BUF 27-35-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the Wild lead the season series 2–0
Wild beat the Sabres
The Wild earned it: 2.5 expected goals to 1.7, and a 4–1 win to show for it. The Wild owned the 2nd period, 1.7 to 0.3 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 2.5 expected goals to 1.7, on 21 and 21 shots on goal.
MIN 2.5 xG · 21 shots
BUF 1.7 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.5 · 0.8
2nd · the swing
1.7 · 0.3
3rd
0.3 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Marco Rossi · 2nd 00:56 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Justin Brazeau · 2nd 05:07 · 2–0 · deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (73%)
3
Mats Zuccarello · 2nd 08:11 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
JJ Peterka · 3rd 06:48 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Frederick Gaudreau · 3rd 19:27 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 64.
MIN 64%BUF 36%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Marco Rossi · 2nd 00:56 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Justin Brazeau · 2nd 05:07 · EXTRA ATTACKER · GWG · 2–0
Deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (73%)
3
Mats Zuccarello · 2nd 08:11 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
JJ Peterka · 3rd 06:48 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Frederick Gaudreau · 3rd 19:27 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/21 saves · 1 GA · 1.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
17/20 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.