MIN
4–2
WSH
Final · W
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 41-27-5
4–2
FinalW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 47-16-9
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
182617421
WSH
2801309230
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Wild lead the season series 2–0
MIN 41-27-5 · WSH 47-16-9 · Meeting 2 this season — the Wild lead the season series 2–0
Wild beat the Capitals
The Wild were outchanced (2.2 to 1.1 expected goals) but won 4–2 anyway. Charlie Lindgren allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Capitals created the better chances: 2.2 expected goals to 1.1, on 30 and 21 shots on goal.
MIN 1.1 xG · 21 shots
WSH 2.2 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.5 · 0.6
2nd
0.4 · 1.0
3rd
0.2 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jon Merrill · 1st 06:00 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Matt Roy · 1st 07:08 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Brandon Duhaime · 1st 08:49 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Frederick Gaudreau · 2nd 12:25 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Matt Boldy · 2nd 19:51 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Frederick Gaudreau · 3rd 18:39 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 28.
MIN 28%WSH 72%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Wild shoot this way
Capitals shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jon Merrill · 1st 06:00 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Matt Roy · 1st 07:08 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Brandon Duhaime · 1st 08:49 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Frederick Gaudreau · 2nd 12:25 · PP · 2–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Matt Boldy · 2nd 19:51 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Frederick Gaudreau · 3rd 18:39 · EN · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
17/20 saves · 3 GA · 1.1 xGA
Allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
