MIN
3–2
DAL
Final / OT · W
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 42-29-7
3–2
Final / OTW
Dallas Stars
DAL · 50-22-5
1ST2ND3RDOTT
MIN
01301021711341
DAL
170141400225
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
MIN 42-29-7 · DAL 50-22-5 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Wild beat the Stars
The Wild earned it: 3.4 expected goals to 2.4, and they won it in overtime on Rossi's goal. The Wild owned the 3rd period, 1.7 to 0.3 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.4, on 41 and 25 shots on goal.
MIN 3.4 xG · 41 shots
DAL 2.4 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 1.0
2nd
0.8 · 1.0
3rd · the swing
1.7 · 0.3
OT
0.2 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jason Robertson · 1st 05:51 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Matt Boldy · 3rd 03:08 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Marcus Foligno · 3rd 05:00 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
4
Thomas Harley · 3rd 13:05 · 2–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Marco Rossi · OT 00:58 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (21%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 66.
MIN 66%DAL 34%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Wild shoot this way
Stars shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jason Robertson · 1st 05:51 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Matt Boldy · 3rd 03:08 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Marcus Foligno · 3rd 05:00 · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
4
Thomas Harley · 3rd 13:05 · 2–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Marco Rossi · OT 00:58 · PP · GWG · 3–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (21%)
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
38/41 saves · 3 GA · 3.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
