MIN
8–7
SJS
Final / OT · W
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 43-29-7
8–7
Final / OTW
San Jose Sharks
SJS · 20-47-11
1ST2ND3RDOTT
MIN
21731521111844
SJS
1103143700731
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Wild lead the season series 3–0
MIN 43-29-7 · SJS 20-47-11 · Meeting 3 this season — the Wild lead the season series 3–0
Wild beat the Sharks
The Wild earned it: 4.7 expected goals to 3.4, and they won it in overtime on Kaprizov's goal. Marc-Andre Fleury allowed 3.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 4.7 expected goals to 3.4, on 44 and 31 shots on goal.
MIN 4.7 xG · 44 shots
SJS 3.4 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st · the swing
1.3 · 0.5
2nd
2.1 · 2.3
3rd
1.1 · 0.6
OT
0.2 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tyler Toffoli · 1st 12:11 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Marcus Johansson · 1st 14:16 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Brock Faber · 1st 18:48 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Macklin Celebrini · 2nd 07:29 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Joel Eriksson Ek · 2nd 07:47 · 3–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
6
Carl Grundstrom · 2nd 08:35 · 3–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (73%)
7
Macklin Celebrini · 2nd 12:28 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Kirill Kaprizov · 2nd 17:02 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
9
Joel Eriksson Ek · 2nd 19:48 · 5–4 · poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (74%)
10
Joel Eriksson Ek · 3rd 01:02 · 6–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
11
Joel Eriksson Ek · 3rd 02:06 · 7–4 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
12
Nikolai Kovalenko · 3rd 04:44 · 7–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
13
Macklin Celebrini · 3rd 10:02 · 7–6 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
14
Will Smith · 3rd 19:08 · 7–7 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
15
Kirill Kaprizov · OT 01:01 · 8–7 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 67.
MIN 67%SJS 33%
Goals and penalties
15 goals · 0 penalties← Wild shoot this way
Sharks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tyler Toffoli · 1st 12:11 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Marcus Johansson · 1st 14:16 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Brock Faber · 1st 18:48 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Macklin Celebrini · 2nd 07:29 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Joel Eriksson Ek · 2nd 07:47 · 3–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
6
Carl Grundstrom · 2nd 08:35 · 3–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (73%)
7
Macklin Celebrini · 2nd 12:28 · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Kirill Kaprizov · 2nd 17:02 · PP · 4–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
9
Joel Eriksson Ek · 2nd 19:48 · PP · 5–4
Poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (74%)
10
Joel Eriksson Ek · 3rd 01:02 · PP · 6–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
11
Joel Eriksson Ek · 3rd 02:06 · 7–4
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
12
Nikolai Kovalenko · 3rd 04:44 · 7–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
13
Macklin Celebrini · 3rd 10:02 · 7–6
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
14
Will Smith · 3rd 19:08 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 7–7
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
15
Kirill Kaprizov · OT 01:01 · GWG · 8–7
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
2
Frederick Gaudreau, Gustav Nyquist · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1–1
2nd period
3rd period
10
Kirill Kaprizov, Mats Zuccarello · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6–4
14
Timothy Liljegren, Macklin Celebrini · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7–7
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
24/31 saves · 7 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 3.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
36/44 saves · 8 GA · 4.7 xGA
Allowed 3.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
