MIN
3–4
VGK
Final / OT · L
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 2-2
3–4
Final / OTL
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 2-2
1ST2ND3RDOTT
MIN
1411018010332
VGK
111012212111446
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the series is tied 2–2
MIN 2-2 · VGK 2-2 · Game 4 — the series is tied 2–2
Wild fell to the Golden Knights
The Wild were outchanced (4.2 to 3.1 expected goals) and lost it in overtime on Barbashev's goal. The Golden Knights scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Golden Knights created the better chances: 4.2 expected goals to 3.1, on 46 and 32 shots on goal.
MIN 3.1 xG · 32 shots
VGK 4.2 xG · 46 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.5 · 1.0
2nd
0.9 · 1.3
3rd
0.7 · 0.9
OT
0.9 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Shea Theodore · 1st 06:47 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Marco Rossi · 1st 10:43 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Marcus Foligno · 2nd 01:24 · 2–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
4
Nicolas Roy · 3rd 04:50 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Tomas Hertl · 3rd 10:03 · 2–3 · deflected shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Jared Spurgeon · 3rd 10:57 · 3–3 · wrap around shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Ivan Barbashev · OT 17:26 · 3–4 · backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 34.
MIN 34%VGK 66%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Wild shoot this way
Golden Knights shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Shea Theodore · 1st 06:47 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Marco Rossi · 1st 10:43 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Marcus Foligno · 2nd 01:24 · 2–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
4
Nicolas Roy · 3rd 04:50 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Tomas Hertl · 3rd 10:03 · 2–3
Deflected shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Jared Spurgeon · 3rd 10:57 · 3–3
Wrap around shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Ivan Barbashev · OT 17:26 · GWG · 3–4
Backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
42/46 saves · 4 GA · 4.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
