Minnesota Wild
MIN · 2-1-0
4–3
Final / SOW
Los Angeles Kings
LAK · 1-2-1
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
MIN
3140506011426
LAK
08010313030334
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Wild lead the season series 1–0
MIN 2-1-0 · LAK 1-2-1 · First meeting this season — the Wild lead the season series 1–0
Wild beat the Kings
The Wild were outchanced (3.7 to 2.5 expected goals) but won it in a shootout anyway. The Kings owned the overtime, 1.2 to 0.1 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Kings created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.5, on 34 and 26 shots on goal.
MIN 2.5 xG · 26 shots
LAK 3.7 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 0.3
2nd
0.7 · 1.0
3rd
0.6 · 1.2
OT · the swing
0.1 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jared Spurgeon · 1st 14:04 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 16:13 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Matt Boldy · 1st 16:33 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Kevin Fiala · 3rd 03:53 · 3–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
5
Quinton Byfield · 3rd 06:22 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Adrian Kempe · 3rd 19:14 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 32.
MIN 32%LAK 68%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 9 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jared Spurgeon · 1st 14:04 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 16:13 · PP · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Matt Boldy · 1st 16:33 · PP · 3–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Kevin Fiala · 3rd 03:53 · 3–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
5
Quinton Byfield · 3rd 06:22 · PP · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Adrian Kempe · 3rd 19:14 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:16
Warren Foegele· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:14
Andrei Kuzmenko· Cross-checking
Spurgeon scored on this power play
Minor
1
Marcus Johansson, Marco Rossi · Power play (Kuzmenko, cross-checking) · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:00
Quinton Byfield· Delaying game puck over glass
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:18
Adrian Kempe· Hooking
Kaprizov scored on this power play
Minor
2
Zeev Buium, Vladimir Tarasenko · Power play (Kempe, hooking) · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2–0
3
Vladimir Tarasenko, Joel Eriksson Ek · Power play (Kempe, hooking) · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3–0
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:40
Marcus Foligno· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:36
Alex Turcotte· Tripping
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:35
Matt Boldy· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:21
Marcus Johansson· Tripping
Byfield scored on this power play
Minor
5
Adrian Kempe, Anze Kopitar · Power play (Johansson, tripping) · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
3–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:26
Adrian Kempe· Hooking
Killed
Minor
Shootout
1
Kirill Kaprizov
Save
2
Adrian Kempe
Save
3
Matt Boldy
Save
4
Trevor Moore
Save
5
Vladimir Tarasenko
Miss
6
Kevin Fiala
Save
7
Marco Rossi
Goal
8
Andrei Kuzmenko
Save
Goaltending
31/34 saves · 3 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Wild went 3-for-6 on the power play and allowed 1 on 3 Kings power plays.