MIN
3–2
VGK
Final / OT · W
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 9-7-4
3–2
Final / OTW
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 8-4-6
1ST2ND3RDOTT
MIN
112160713328
VGK
18081900225
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Wild lead the season series 1–0
MIN 9-7-4 · VGK 8-4-6 · First meeting this season — the Wild lead the season series 1–0
Wild beat the Golden Knights
Chances were even (1.8 to 1.7 expected goals); the Wild won it in overtime on Kaprizov's goal. Carl Lindbom allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 1.8 expected goals to 1.7, on 28 and 25 shots on goal.
MIN 1.8 xG · 28 shots
VGK 1.7 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.7 · 0.6
2nd
0.4 · 0.6
3rd
0.4 · 0.5
OT
0.3 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Joel Eriksson Ek · 1st 04:49 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Pavel Dorofeyev · 1st 15:14 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
3
Yakov Trenin · 2nd 09:05 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Reilly Smith · 3rd 06:35 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Kirill Kaprizov · OT 04:50 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 53.
MIN 53%VGK 47%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 8 penalties← Wild shoot this way
Golden Knights shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Joel Eriksson Ek · 1st 04:49 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Pavel Dorofeyev · 1st 15:14 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
3
Yakov Trenin · 2nd 09:05 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Reilly Smith · 3rd 06:35 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Kirill Kaprizov · OT 04:50 · PP · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
1
Mats Zuccarello, Marcus Johansson · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:39
Matt Boldy· Tripping
Matt Boldy· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:46
Braeden Bowman· Hooking
Braeden Bowman· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:26
Joel Eriksson Ek· Tripping
Joel Eriksson Ek· Tripping
Dorofeyev scored on this power play
Minor
2
Mitch Marner, Tomas Hertl · Power play (Ek, tripping) · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
1–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:40
Zach Whitecloud· Tripping
Zach Whitecloud· Tripping
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:12
Kaedan Korczak· Hooking
Kaedan Korczak· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:27
Matt Boldy· Broken stick
Matt Boldy· Broken stick
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:31
Shea Theodore· Hooking
Shea Theodore· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:02
Jared Spurgeon· Holding
Jared Spurgeon· Holding
Smith scored on this power play
Minor
4
Shea Theodore, Ivan Barbashev · Power play (Spurgeon, holding) · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2–2
Overtime
Goaltending
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 1.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Wild went 1-for-4 on the power play and allowed 2 on 4 Golden Knights power plays.