Minnesota Wild
MIN · 10-7-4
4–3
Final / SOW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 13-5-2
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
MIN
2110513001419
CAR
014116213020345
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
MIN 10-7-4 · CAR 13-5-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Wild beat the Hurricanes
The Wild were outchanced (3.5 to 1.5 expected goals) but won it in a shootout anyway. Frederik Andersen allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 1.5, on 45 and 19 shots on goal.
MIN 1.5 xG · 19 shots
CAR 3.5 xG · 45 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.8 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
0.3 · 1.4
3rd
0.3 · 0.9
OT
0.1 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brock Faber · 1st 01:54 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Matt Boldy · 1st 11:46 · 2–0 · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Jackson Blake · 2nd 14:03 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Mats Zuccarello · 3rd 00:15 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 06:34 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Jackson Blake · 3rd 18:54 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 18.
MIN 18%CAR 82%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 3 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brock Faber · 1st 01:54 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Matt Boldy · 1st 11:46 · SH · 2–0
Wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Jackson Blake · 2nd 14:03 · 2–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Mats Zuccarello · 3rd 00:15 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 06:34 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Jackson Blake · 3rd 18:54 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:49
Zeev Buium· Tripping
Killed
Minor
2
Unassisted · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:53
Mats Zuccarello· Slashing
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:58
Mike Reilly· Interference
Killed
Minor
3rd period
Shootout
1
Mats Zuccarello
Save
2
Seth Jarvis
Save
3
Kirill Kaprizov
Save
4
Andrei Svechnikov
Save
5
Matt Boldy
Goal
6
Taylor Hall
Save
Goaltending
42/45 saves · 3 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
16/19 saves · 3 GA · 1.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Wild went 0-for-1 on the power play and killed all 2 Hurricanes power plays.