Minnesota Wild
MIN · 14-7-4
3–2
Final / SOW
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 17-1-6
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
MIN
012217010001339
COL
114010114030241
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Wild lead the season series 1–0
MIN 14-7-4 · COL 17-1-6 · First meeting this season — the Wild lead the season series 1–0
Wild beat the Avalanche
The Wild were outchanced (3.7 to 3.1 expected goals) but won it in a shootout anyway. Jesper Wallstedt stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 3.1, on 41 and 39 shots on goal.
MIN 3.1 xG · 39 shots
COL 3.7 xG · 41 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.7 · 1.5
2nd · the swing
2.0 · 0.5
3rd
0.4 · 1.5
OT
0.0 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 14:54 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Kirill Kaprizov · 2nd 12:00 · 1–1 · deflected shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Kirill Kaprizov · 2nd 18:03 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Gabriel Landeskog · 3rd 11:08 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 41.
MIN 41%COL 59%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 2 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 14:54 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Kirill Kaprizov · 2nd 12:00 · 1–1
Deflected shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Kirill Kaprizov · 2nd 18:03 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Gabriel Landeskog · 3rd 11:08 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:47
Sam Malinski· Roughing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:34
Zeev Buium· Hooking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
3rd period
Shootout
1
Mats Zuccarello
Goal
2
Martin Necas
Goal
3
Kirill Kaprizov
Save
4
Nathan MacKinnon
Save
5
Matt Boldy
Goal
6
Cale Makar
Save
Goaltending
39/41 saves · 2 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
37/39 saves · 2 GA · 3.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Wild went 0-for-1 on the power play and killed all 1 Avalanche power play.