Minnesota Wild
MIN · 18-9-5
3–2
FinalW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 14-13-4
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
0521614325
OTT
08118110236
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Wild lead the season series 1–0
MIN 18-9-5 · OTT 14-13-4 · First meeting this season — the Wild lead the season series 1–0
Wild beat the Senators
The Wild were outchanced (3.7 to 2.3 expected goals) but won 3–2 anyway. Ek's winner came with 0:24 left. Jesper Wallstedt stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.3, on 36 and 25 shots on goal.
MIN 2.3 xG · 25 shots
OTT 3.7 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.4 · 1.0
2nd
1.4 · 2.1
3rd
0.5 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tyler Pitlick · 2nd 03:54 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Ryan Hartman · 2nd 16:02 · 2–0 · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
3
Tim Stützle · 2nd 19:37 · 2–1 · poke shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
4
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 05:45 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Joel Eriksson Ek · 3rd 19:36 · 3–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 28.
MIN 28%OTT 72%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 11 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tyler Pitlick · 2nd 03:54 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Ryan Hartman · 2nd 16:02 · PP · 2–0
Snap shot, a great chance (26%)
3
Tim Stützle · 2nd 19:37 · PP · 2–1
Poke shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
4
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 05:45 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Joel Eriksson Ek · 3rd 19:36 · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:34
Ridly Greig· Delaying game puck over glass
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:56
David Perron· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:04
Tyler Kleven· Slashing
Hartman scored on this power play
Minor
2
Marcus Johansson, Danila Yurov · Power play (Kleven, slashing) · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
2–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:34
David Jiricek· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:58
Joel Eriksson Ek· Slashing
Stützle scored on this power play
Minor
3
Dylan Cozens, Drake Batherson · Power play (Ek, slashing) · poke shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
2–1
PEN
5 min
Major
20:00
Ryan Hartman· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
20:00
Ridly Greig· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:09
Kirill Kaprizov· Slashing
Cozens scored on this power play
Minor
4
Brady Tkachuk, Tim Stützle · Power play (Kaprizov, slashing) · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:33
Joel Eriksson Ek· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:33
Tim Stützle· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:28
Daemon Hunt· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
34/36 saves · 2 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Wild went 1-for-3 on the power play and allowed 2 on 4 Senators power plays.