Minnesota Wild
MIN · 22-9-5
5–2
FinalW
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 17-13-6
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
316010211537
EDM
21406010230
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Wild lead the season series 2–0
MIN 22-9-5 · EDM 17-13-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the Wild lead the season series 2–0
Wild beat the Oilers
The Wild earned it: 3.8 expected goals to 3.1, and a 5–2 win to show for it. Filip Gustavsson stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 3.1, on 37 and 30 shots on goal.
MIN 3.8 xG · 37 shots
EDM 3.1 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.7 · 1.7
2nd
0.9 · 0.8
3rd
1.2 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matt Boldy · 1st 03:42 · 1–0 · backhand shot off the rush, a good chance (18%)
2
Matt Boldy · 1st 10:56 · 2–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Andrew Mangiapane · 1st 13:35 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Connor McDavid · 1st 18:44 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (41%)
5
Ryan Hartman · 1st 19:52 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Vladimir Tarasenko · 3rd 09:08 · 4–2 · backhand shot, a great chance (40%)
7
Nico Sturm · 3rd 18:35 · 5–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 61.
MIN 61%EDM 39%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 4 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matt Boldy · 1st 03:42 · 1–0
Backhand shot off the rush, a good chance (18%)
2
Matt Boldy · 1st 10:56 · PP · 2–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Andrew Mangiapane · 1st 13:35 · 2–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Connor McDavid · 1st 18:44 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (41%)
5
Ryan Hartman · 1st 19:52 · GWG · 3–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Vladimir Tarasenko · 3rd 09:08 · 4–2
Backhand shot, a great chance (40%)
7
Nico Sturm · 3rd 18:35 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:53
Leon Draisaitl· Cross-checking
Boldy scored on this power play
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:53
Leon Draisaitl· Unsportsmanlike conduct
Killed
Minor
2
Quinn Hughes, Mats Zuccarello · Power play (Draisaitl, cross-checking) · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:10
Jake Middleton· Interference
McDavid scored on this power play
Minor
4
Leon Draisaitl, Zach Hyman · Power play (Middleton, interference) · wrist shot, a great chance (41%)
2–2
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:06
Jonas Brodin· Hooking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
Goaltending
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 3.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
32/36 saves · 4 GA · 3.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Wild went 1-for-2 on the power play and allowed 1 on 2 Oilers power plays.