Minnesota Wild
MIN · 22-10-5
1–5
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 26-2-7
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
0701319129
COL
11421929542
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
MIN 22-10-5 · COL 26-2-7 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Wild fell to the Avalanche
The Wild were outchanced (3.9 to 2.5 expected goals) and lost 1–5. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 2.5, on 42 and 29 shots on goal.
MIN 2.5 xG · 29 shots
COL 3.9 xG · 42 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
0.3 · 1.9
2nd
0.9 · 1.5
3rd
1.3 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Martin Necas · 1st 18:28 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 13:37 · 0–2 · slap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Cale Makar · 2nd 18:33 · 0–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Ryan Hartman · 3rd 05:15 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Brock Nelson · 3rd 15:52 · 1–4 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 17:35 · 1–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 30.
MIN 30%COL 70%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 7 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Martin Necas · 1st 18:28 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 13:37 · PP · GWG · 0–2
Slap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Cale Makar · 2nd 18:33 · PP · 0–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Ryan Hartman · 3rd 05:15 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Brock Nelson · 3rd 15:52 · 1–4
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 17:35 · EN · 1–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:56
Josh Manson· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:03
Kirill Kaprizov· Hooking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:03
Jack Drury· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:47
Vladimir Tarasenko· Interference
MacKinnon scored on this power play
Minor
2
Brock Nelson, Cale Makar · Power play (Tarasenko, interference) · slap shot, a good chance (13%)
0–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:07
Marcus Foligno· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:07
Marcus Foligno· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:30
Gabriel Landeskog· Holding
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
37/41 saves · 4 GA · 3.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
28/29 saves · 1 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Wild went 0-for-3 on the power play and allowed 2 on 4 Avalanche power plays.