MIN
2–3
NSH
Final / OT · L
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 22-10-6
2–3
Final / OTL
Nashville Predators
NSH · 16-16-4
1ST2ND3RDOTT
MIN
1121110900232
NSH
280120712329
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
MIN 22-10-6 · NSH 16-16-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Wild fell to the Predators
Chances were even (2.8 to 3.1 expected goals); the Wild lost it in overtime on Stamkos's goal. The Predators scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 3.1, on 32 and 29 shots on goal.
MIN 2.8 xG · 32 shots
NSH 3.1 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.9
2nd
1.7 · 1.2
3rd
0.3 · 0.9
OT
0.0 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brock Faber · 1st 07:00 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Ryan O'Reilly · 1st 14:28 · 1–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
3
Roman Josi · 1st 17:07 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Joel Eriksson Ek · 2nd 00:52 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (54%)
5
Steven Stamkos · OT 00:53 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 45.
MIN 45%NSH 55%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 9 penalties← Wild shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brock Faber · 1st 07:00 · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Ryan O'Reilly · 1st 14:28 · PP · 1–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
3
Roman Josi · 1st 17:07 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Joel Eriksson Ek · 2nd 00:52 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (54%)
5
Steven Stamkos · OT 00:53 · GWG · 2–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:30
Ryan O'Reilly· High-sticking
Ryan O'Reilly· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:42
Joel Eriksson Ek· Tripping
Joel Eriksson Ek· Tripping
O'Reilly scored on this power play
Minor
2
Luke Evangelista, Steven Stamkos · Power play (Ek, tripping) · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
1–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:07
Vladimir Tarasenko· Tripping
Vladimir Tarasenko· Tripping
Josi scored on this power play
Minor
3
Ryan O'Reilly, Filip Forsberg · Power play (Tarasenko, tripping) · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1–2
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:14
Kirill Kaprizov· Holding
Kirill Kaprizov· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:48
Nick Blankenburg· Tripping
Nick Blankenburg· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:40
Mats Zuccarello· Slashing
Mats Zuccarello· Slashing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:40
Michael McCarron· Slashing
Michael McCarron· Slashing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:16
Jared Spurgeon· High-sticking
Jared Spurgeon· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:15
Tyson Jost· Tripping
Tyson Jost· Tripping
Killed
Minor
Overtime
Goaltending
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Wild went 0-for-3 on the power play and allowed 2 on 4 Predators power plays.