Minnesota Wild
MIN · 30-14-10
4–3
Final / SOW
Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 21-23-9
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
MIN
081726021423
CHI
2141607050332
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Wild lead the season series 2–0
MIN 30-14-10 · CHI 21-23-9 · Meeting 2 this season — the Wild lead the season series 2–0
Wild beat the Blackhawks
Down 0–3 in the 2nd period, the Wild erased the deficit with three unanswered goals — Spurgeon's equalizer with 2:02 left and the goalie pulled — and won it in a shootout. Jesper Wallstedt stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Blackhawks created the better chances: 4.6 expected goals to 2.7, on 32 and 23 shots on goal.
MIN 2.7 xG · 23 shots
CHI 4.6 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st · the swing
0.4 · 2.0
2nd
0.9 · 0.8
3rd
0.9 · 0.8
OT
0.5 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Teuvo Teravainen · 1st 01:19 · 0–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (76%)
2
Ryan Donato · 1st 15:14 · 0–2 · slap shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Ilya Mikheyev · 2nd 05:54 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Yakov Trenin · 2nd 12:33 · 1–3 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Joel Eriksson Ek · 3rd 03:57 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
6
Jared Spurgeon · 3rd 17:58 · 3–3 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 25.
MIN 25%CHI 75%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 6 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Teuvo Teravainen · 1st 01:19 · 0–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (76%)
2
Ryan Donato · 1st 15:14 · 0–2
Slap shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Ilya Mikheyev · 2nd 05:54 · 0–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Yakov Trenin · 2nd 12:33 · 1–3
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Joel Eriksson Ek · 3rd 03:57 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
6
Jared Spurgeon · 3rd 17:58 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:01
Jake Middleton· Holding
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:13
Jared Spurgeon· Holding
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:04
Matt Boldy· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:06
Matt Grzelcyk· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:37
Danila Yurov· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:11
Matt Boldy· Slashing
Killed
Minor
Shootout
1
Mats Zuccarello
Miss
2
Frank Nazar
Miss
3
Kirill Kaprizov
Goal
4
Connor Bedard
Miss
5
Matt Boldy
Save
6
Ryan Donato
Save
Goaltending
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 4.6 xGA
Stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Wild went 0-for-1 on the power play and killed all 5 Blackhawks power plays.