MIN
4–1
CGY
Final · W
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 31-14-10
4–1
FinalW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 21-26-6
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
2305216424
CGY
0140719130
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Wild lead the season series 2–1
MIN 31-14-10 · CGY 21-26-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Wild lead the season series 2–1
Wild beat the Flames
Chances were even (2.4 to 2.5 expected goals); the Wild won 4–1. Filip Gustavsson stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.4 expected goals to 2.5, on 24 and 30 shots on goal.
MIN 2.4 xG · 24 shots
CGY 2.5 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.4 · 1.0
2nd
0.4 · 0.6
3rd
1.7 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Danila Yurov · 1st 02:43 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Vinnie Hinostroza · 1st 10:37 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Morgan Frost · 3rd 05:49 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Matt Boldy · 3rd 17:17 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Kirill Kaprizov · 3rd 17:45 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 48.
MIN 48%CGY 52%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 7 penalties← Wild shoot this way
Flames shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Danila Yurov · 1st 02:43 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Vinnie Hinostroza · 1st 10:37 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Morgan Frost · 3rd 05:49 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Matt Boldy · 3rd 17:17 · PP · 3–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Kirill Kaprizov · 3rd 17:45 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
5 min
Major
02:45
Adam Klapka· Fighting
Adam Klapka· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
02:45
Marcus Foligno· Fighting
Marcus Foligno· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:05
Brock Faber· Slashing
Brock Faber· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:20
Ryan Hartman· High-sticking
Ryan Hartman· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:05
Quinn Hughes· High-sticking
Quinn Hughes· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:53
Martin Pospisil· Elbowing
Martin Pospisil· Elbowing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:07
MacKenzie Weegar· Holding
MacKenzie Weegar· Holding
Boldy scored on this power play
Minor
4
Kirill Kaprizov, Quinn Hughes · Power play (Weegar, holding) · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3–1
Goaltending
29/30 saves · 1 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Wild went 1-for-2 on the power play and killed all 3 Flames power plays.