Minnesota Wild
MIN · 35-16-10
1–3
FinalL
St. Louis Blues
STL · 22-29-9
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
0811104123
STL
0717210324
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
MIN 35-16-10 · STL 22-29-9 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Wild fell to the Blues
The Wild created the better chances (1.7 to 1.1 expected goals) — and lost 1–3. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 1.7 expected goals to 1.1, on 23 and 24 shots on goal.
MIN 1.7 xG · 23 shots
STL 1.1 xG · 24 shots
0
1
1st
0.4 · 0.2
2nd
1.0 · 0.6
3rd
0.2 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kirill Kaprizov · 2nd 16:09 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Logan Mailloux · 2nd 18:05 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Pavel Buchnevich · 3rd 16:21 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Robert Thomas · 3rd 19:35 · 1–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 64.
MIN 64%STL 36%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 3 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kirill Kaprizov · 2nd 16:09 · PP · 1–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Logan Mailloux · 2nd 18:05 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Pavel Buchnevich · 3rd 16:21 · GWG · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Robert Thomas · 3rd 19:35 · EN · 1–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:51
Robert Thomas· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:22
Jack Finley· High-sticking
Kaprizov scored on this power play
Minor
1
Matt Boldy, Quinn Hughes · Power play (Finley, high-sticking) · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
1–0
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:12
Nico Sturm· Tripping
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
21/23 saves · 2 GA · 1.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
22/23 saves · 1 GA · 1.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Wild went 1-for-2 on the power play and killed all 1 Blues power play.