MIN
5–1
TBL
Final · W
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 36-16-10
5–1
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 38-17-4
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
1527210522
TBL
0121607125
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Wild lead the season series 1–0
MIN 36-16-10 · TBL 38-17-4 · First meeting this season — the Wild lead the season series 1–0
Wild beat the Lightning
The Wild earned it: 3.8 expected goals to 1.6, and a 5–1 win to show for it. Andrei Vasilevskiy allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 1.6, on 22 and 25 shots on goal.
MIN 3.8 xG · 22 shots
TBL 1.6 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 0.8
2nd
0.9 · 0.4
3rd · the swing
1.8 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brock Faber · 1st 03:46 · 1–0 · snap shot, a great chance (35%)
2
Mats Zuccarello · 2nd 04:59 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 15:07 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Yakov Trenin · 2nd 17:10 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
5
Quinn Hughes · 3rd 06:53 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (42%)
6
Kirill Kaprizov · 3rd 16:41 · 5–1 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 83.
MIN 83%TBL 17%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 10 penalties← Wild shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brock Faber · 1st 03:46 · 1–0
Snap shot, a great chance (35%)
2
Mats Zuccarello · 2nd 04:59 · PP · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 15:07 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Yakov Trenin · 2nd 17:10 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
5
Quinn Hughes · 3rd 06:53 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (42%)
6
Kirill Kaprizov · 3rd 16:41 · EN · 5–1
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:10
Brandon Hagel· High-sticking
Brandon Hagel· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
13:31
Scott Sabourin· Misconduct
Scott Sabourin· Misconduct
Misconduct
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:05
Jonas Brodin· High-sticking
Jonas Brodin· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
03:10
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Killed
Bench minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:11
Kirill Kaprizov· Tripping
Kirill Kaprizov· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:24
Anthony Cirelli· High-sticking
Anthony Cirelli· High-sticking
Zuccarello scored on this power play
Minor
2
Quinn Hughes, Matt Boldy · Power play (Cirelli, high-sticking) · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:05
Brayden Point· High-sticking
Brayden Point· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:33
Vinnie Hinostroza· Tripping
Vinnie Hinostroza· Tripping
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:35
Darren Raddysh· Interference
Darren Raddysh· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:01
Zach Bogosian· Holding the stick
Zach Bogosian· Holding the stick
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
24/25 saves · 1 GA · 2.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
17/21 saves · 4 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Wild went 1-for-5 on the power play and killed all 4 Lightning power plays.