MIN
2–4
TOR
Final · L
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 38-18-12
2–4
FinalL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 29-27-12
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
010011217238
TOR
0531615426
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
MIN 38-18-12 · TOR 29-27-12 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Wild fell to the Maple Leafs
The Wild created the better chances (3.9 to 1.2 expected goals) — and lost 2–4. Jesper Wallstedt allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 1.2, on 38 and 26 shots on goal.
MIN 3.9 xG · 38 shots
TOR 1.2 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.4 · 0.4
2nd
0.9 · 0.6
3rd · the swing
1.5 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Morgan Rielly · 2nd 01:07 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Bo Groulx · 2nd 02:19 · 0–2 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Bo Groulx · 2nd 08:18 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Vladimir Tarasenko · 3rd 04:51 · 1–3 · snap shot, a great chance (37%)
5
Vladimir Tarasenko · 3rd 05:14 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Matthew Knies · 3rd 19:23 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 89.
MIN 89%TOR 11%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 7 penalties← Wild shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Morgan Rielly · 2nd 01:07 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Bo Groulx · 2nd 02:19 · 0–2
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Bo Groulx · 2nd 08:18 · GWG · 0–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Vladimir Tarasenko · 3rd 04:51 · 1–3
Snap shot, a great chance (37%)
5
Vladimir Tarasenko · 3rd 05:14 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Matthew Knies · 3rd 19:23 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:29
Calle Jarnkrok· Holding the stick
Calle Jarnkrok· Holding the stick
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:13
Mats Zuccarello· Cross-checking
Mats Zuccarello· Cross-checking
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:13
Brandon Carlo· Cross-checking
Brandon Carlo· Cross-checking
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:05
Jake McCabe· Interference
Jake McCabe· Interference
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:05
Kirill Kaprizov· Embellishment
Kirill Kaprizov· Embellishment
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:18
Yakov Trenin· Hooking
Yakov Trenin· Hooking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:22
Nick Robertson· Slashing
Nick Robertson· Slashing
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
36/38 saves · 2 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Wild went 0-for-2 on the power play and killed all 1 Maple Leafs power play.