Minnesota Wild
MIN · 1-2
3–4
Final / OTL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 2-1
1ST2ND3RDOT2OTT
MIN
1926070802332
DAL
2909190217436
goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Wild trail the series 1–2
MIN 1-2 · DAL 2-1 · Game 3 — the Wild trail the series 1–2
Wild fell to the Stars
The Wild were outchanced (3.2 to 1.4 expected goals) and lost it in overtime on Johnston's goal. Jake Oettinger allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 1.4, on 36 and 32 shots on goal.
MIN 1.4 xG · 32 shots
DAL 3.2 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.3 · 0.6
2nd
0.4 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
0.1 · 1.0
OT
0.5 · 0.6
2OT
0.0 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 01:25 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Jason Robertson · 1st 13:48 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Marcus Johansson · 1st 18:20 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Joel Eriksson Ek · 2nd 05:00 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Michael McCarron · 2nd 17:25 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Matt Duchene · 3rd 10:18 · 3–3 · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
7
Wyatt Johnston · 2OT 12:10 · 3–4 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 21.
MIN 21%DAL 79%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 17 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 01:25 · PP · 0–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Jason Robertson · 1st 13:48 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Marcus Johansson · 1st 18:20 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Joel Eriksson Ek · 2nd 05:00 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Michael McCarron · 2nd 17:25 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Matt Duchene · 3rd 10:18 · PP · 3–3
Snap shot, a great chance (26%)
7
Wyatt Johnston · 2OT 12:10 · PP · GWG · 3–4
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:05
Jonas Brodin· Tripping
Rantanen scored on this power play
Minor
1
Jason Robertson, Matt Duchene · Power play (Brodin, tripping) · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
0–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:24
Nick Foligno· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:25
Jason Robertson· High-sticking
Johansson scored on this power play
Minor
3
Bobby Brink · Power play (Robertson, high-sticking) · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1–2
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:04
Jamie Benn· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:27
Esa Lindell· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:27
Joel Eriksson Ek· Slashing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:48
Ryan Hartman· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:58
Ryan Hartman· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:18
Matt Boldy· Delaying game puck over glass
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:18
Esa Lindell· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:54
Quinn Hughes· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:13
Radek Faksa· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:27
Bobby Brink· Tripping
Duchene scored on this power play
Minor
6
Mikko Rantanen, Wyatt Johnston · Power play (Brink, tripping) · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
3–3
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:56
Danila Yurov· Delaying game puck over glass
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:30
Mikko Rantanen· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:36
Sam Steel· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:09
Jamie Benn· Holding
Killed
Minor
2nd overtime
Goaltending
32/36 saves · 4 GA · 3.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 1.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Wild went 1-for-7 on the power play and allowed 3 on 8 Stars power plays.