MIN
3–2
DAL
Final / OT · W
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 2-2
3–2
Final / OTW
Dallas Stars
DAL · 2-2
1ST2ND3RDOTT
MIN
11405112111342
DAL
1111170809245
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the series is tied 2–2
MIN 2-2 · DAL 2-2 · Game 4 — the series is tied 2–2
Wild beat the Stars
The Wild were outchanced (4.2 to 2.9 expected goals) but won it in overtime on Boldy's goal anyway. Jesper Wallstedt stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 4.2 expected goals to 2.9, on 45 and 42 shots on goal.
MIN 2.9 xG · 42 shots
DAL 4.2 xG · 45 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.0 · 1.4
2nd · the swing
0.1 · 1.8
3rd
1.1 · 0.6
OT
0.5 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jason Robertson · 1st 05:35 · 0–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (54%)
2
Brock Faber · 1st 13:52 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Miro Heiskanen · 2nd 19:25 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Marcus Foligno · 3rd 14:40 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a great chance (55%)
5
Matt Boldy · OT 19:31 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 32.
MIN 32%DAL 68%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 6 penalties← Wild shoot this way
Stars shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jason Robertson · 1st 05:35 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (54%)
2
Brock Faber · 1st 13:52 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Miro Heiskanen · 2nd 19:25 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Marcus Foligno · 3rd 14:40 · 2–2
Backhand shot, a great chance (55%)
5
Matt Boldy · OT 19:31 · GWG · 3–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:31
Ryan Hartman· Interference goalkeeper
Ryan Hartman· Interference goalkeeper
Robertson scored on this power play
Minor
1
Matt Duchene, Mikko Rantanen · Power play (Hartman, interference goalkeeper) · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (54%)
0–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:47
Mavrik Bourque· Roughing
Mavrik Bourque· Roughing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:50
Lian Bichsel· Hooking
Lian Bichsel· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:00
Wyatt Johnston· High-sticking
Wyatt Johnston· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:15
Nils Lundkvist· Tripping
Nils Lundkvist· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:45
Brock Faber· High-sticking
Brock Faber· High-sticking
Heiskanen scored on this power play
Minor
3
Matt Duchene, Mikko Rantanen · Power play (Faber, high-sticking) · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
1–2
3rd period
Overtime
Goaltending
43/45 saves · 2 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
39/42 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Wild went 0-for-4 on the power play and allowed 2 on 2 Stars power plays.