MIN
5–2
DAL
Final · W
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 4-2
5–2
FinalW
Dallas Stars
DAL · 2-4
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
171638521
DAL
0421009223
goals · shots on goal
Game 6 — the Wild lead the series 4–2
MIN 4-2 · DAL 2-4 · Game 6 — the Wild lead the series 4–2
Wild beat the Stars
Chances were even (1.5 to 1.5 expected goals); the Wild won 5–2. Jake Oettinger allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 1.5 expected goals to 1.5, on 21 and 23 shots on goal.
MIN 1.5 xG · 21 shots
DAL 1.5 xG · 23 shots
0
1
1st
0.7 · 0.3
2nd
0.4 · 0.7
3rd
0.3 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Quinn Hughes · 1st 06:23 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Wyatt Johnston · 2nd 07:01 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Mavrik Bourque · 2nd 16:08 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Vladimir Tarasenko · 2nd 17:02 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Quinn Hughes · 3rd 10:38 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Matt Boldy · 3rd 18:29 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Matt Boldy · 3rd 19:45 · 5–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 49.
MIN 49%DAL 51%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 5 penalties← Wild shoot this way
Stars shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Quinn Hughes · 1st 06:23 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Wyatt Johnston · 2nd 07:01 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Mavrik Bourque · 2nd 16:08 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Vladimir Tarasenko · 2nd 17:02 · 2–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Quinn Hughes · 3rd 10:38 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Matt Boldy · 3rd 18:29 · EN · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Matt Boldy · 3rd 19:45 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:46
Matt Duchene· Cross-checking
Matt Duchene· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:55
Yakov Trenin· Interference
Yakov Trenin· Interference
Johnston scored on this power play
Minor
2
Mikko Rantanen, Matt Duchene · Power play (Trenin, interference) · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
1–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:54
Radek Faksa· Holding
Radek Faksa· Holding
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:18
Mikko Rantanen· Roughing
Mikko Rantanen· Roughing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:38
Ryan Hartman· Slashing
Ryan Hartman· Slashing
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
21/23 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
16/19 saves · 3 GA · 1.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Wild went 0-for-3 on the power play and allowed 1 on 2 Stars power plays.