Minnesota Wild
MIN · 5-4
5–1
FinalW
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 6-1
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN
2102818526
COL
09113014136
goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Wild trail the series 1–2
MIN 5-4 · COL 6-1 · Game 3 — the Wild trail the series 1–2
Wild beat the Avalanche
The Wild earned it: 3.6 expected goals to 2.8, and a 5–1 win to show for it. Scott Wedgewood allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 2.8, on 26 and 36 shots on goal.
MIN 3.6 xG · 26 shots
COL 2.8 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.5 · 0.9
2nd
1.3 · 0.8
3rd
0.8 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 15:11 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Quinn Hughes · 1st 16:44 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Ryan Hartman · 2nd 04:23 · 3–0 · bat shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 13:11 · 3–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
5
Brock Faber · 2nd 13:31 · 4–1 · deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
6
Matt Boldy · 3rd 19:56 · 5–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Wild win 61.
MIN 61%COL 39%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 8 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 15:11 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Quinn Hughes · 1st 16:44 · PP · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Ryan Hartman · 2nd 04:23 · PP · 3–0
Bat shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 13:11 · PP · 3–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
5
Brock Faber · 2nd 13:31 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–1
Deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
6
Matt Boldy · 3rd 19:56 · EN · 5–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:09
Brock Faber· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:54
Parker Kelly· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:54
Ryan Hartman· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:52
Devon Toews· Hooking
Hughes scored on this power play
Minor
2
Mats Zuccarello, Kirill Kaprizov · Power play (Toews, hooking) · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:42
Quinn Hughes· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:39
Parker Kelly· Holding
Hartman scored on this power play
Minor
3
Mats Zuccarello, Kirill Kaprizov · Power play (Kelly, holding) · bat shot, a good chance (19%)
3–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:16
Marcus Foligno· Interference
MacKinnon scored on this power play
Minor
4
Gabriel Landeskog, Nazem Kadri · Power play (Foligno, interference) · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
3–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:33
Nathan MacKinnon· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
Goaltending
35/36 saves · 1 GA · 2.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
12/13 saves · 1 GA · 1.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Wild went 2-for-3 on the power play and allowed 1 on 3 Avalanche power plays.